6 Business ethics risk analysis for RIL development
Who works towards RIL with the application perspective of a RIL enhanced ICLPP in mind faces a number of questions about morality or rather business ethics pertaining to that particular line of work. I intend to shed light on these matters in this section of the paper. First I will restate the orientation of the work on RIL for which its business ethics is to be scrutinized.
6.1 Restating the orientation towards a RIL supported ICLPP
A picture has been drawn of the mechanics of a scaled up Islamic Legal Process that makes use of Islamic Legal Reasoning performed within Islamic courts and of Real Islamic Logic applied outside courts with the main purpose to ease the burden of decision making for the courts.
In the absence of a well-understood Real Islamic Logic one may postulate the existence of a Natural Islamic Logic, which represents the ethical decision making practiced bymuslims
in circumstances they consider sufficiently simple or sufficiently conclusive for them not to seek for advice of a court. The project to develop a Real Islamic Logic looks for more than the mere psychology of Natural Islamic Logic. The project requires a systematic approach to disentangle the reasoning process currently performed by way of Natural Islamic Logic as to improve the entire system at least from the point of view of acknowledged Islamic objectives.
The essential quality of the entire Islamic Legal Process is the permanent involvement of Islamic courts in many aspects of decision making, in a way that seems to resist automation. This quality has become more important with the progress of computing technology.
I have not made an attempt to put forward arguments that a well-designed system of Real Islamic Logic, when put in place at a grand scale, will indeed bring some particular family of relevant objectives closer to their realization. But is seems clear that a more systematic approach to that part of the legal process may foster the role of Islamic courts and for that reason it may be considered plausible that this will promote goals that motivate these courts.
The assumption that fostering the role of Islamic courts will bring about progress towards intrinsic Islamic objectives underlies the motivation given for RIL and its application perspective. As an assumption, its validity cannot be confirmed by mere theoretical work and this assumption for that reason takes the form of an unproven axiom. Developing RIL by means of the design of a systematic approach to Natural Islamic Logic has been outlined and a survey of the techniques from formal logic that might come into play has been given. Of course the real work for developing a comprehensible and effective Real Islamic Logic has yet to begin anda
even proof of concept is missing at this stage of development. A sharp condemnation of the plan to develop RIL cannot be based on known adverse consequences of its application.
6.2 Working on the basis of randomized source documents
At this point of our development of RIL and its rationale a remarkable and speculative hypothesis can be formulated. The hypothesis being that:
the
entire Islamic Legal Process inherits its powerful functionality first and for all from the fact that the heritage of the original sources, after years of evolution and codification of the outcomes of that evolution, still defeats an automated logical analysis to such an extent that:
i
) the legal process is best put in the hands of a large number of concurrently operating autonomous groups of informed persons (the courts), cooperating with a number of highly skilled and informed individuals (excellent Islamic scholars), and, ii) the members of these courts as well as the informed individuals who play a role constitute a meritocracy, rather than that they have been selected by means of majority voting, iii) propertiesi
) and ii) are the distinctive characteristics of the Islamic Legal Process in comparison with competing mechanisms.
If this hypothesis is actually valid it may also be maintained as a plausible assumption concerning an alternative world in which the original sources have been laid down in an almost random way. A weaker and for that reason more plausible assessment is that after many years of autonomous evolution the Islamic Legal Process has become quite stable against (hypothetical) small modifications of the original sources. This stability against hypothetical perturbations of the source documents mainly derives from the distributed and autonomous nature of the Islamic legal process. If that process were firmly centralized each single line in the original source texts would have more impact on current decision making.
When the decision was made to found Islam around the year 720 on the basis of the collected original sources then available, the deciding actors rightly foresaw (perhaps unconsciously) that the combined complexity of these sources would defeat any attempted simplification and would keep readers and scholars busy for centuries to come, even in times of legal process automation.
6.2.1 Centralization: a risk provoked by Islamic Finance?
If one accepts that the distributed nature, with many autonomous courts working concurrently throughout the world, is a major strength of the Islamic legal process then the widespread call for unity in the world of Islamic Finance is seriously misguided. This may indicate a systemic risk for Islamic Finance as well as for Real Islamic Logic. Competition on the financial market may force Islamic Finance into structures of centralized control that are incompatible with the distributed and autonomous nature of the Islamic legal process. Losing that competition, however, is problematic too because it limits the influence for which Islamic Finance has been originally set up. If one takes this risk of derailment into centralized structures seriously that gives way to another chapter ofTarek
ElDiwani’s
criticism that Islamic Finance imports western financial habits far too quickly and without due consideration of the risks thereof and of the longer term objectives of Islam (see the survey ofTarek
ElDiwany’s
positions of [15] in [6]).
6.2.2 Genetic programming needed?
The rather mechanical picture of a thread vector of threads, each representing the behavior of a single court,
operating together as a multithreaded system (in the terminology of [7]) scheduled by way of strategic interleaving, fails to explain why the points of view of different courts do not diverge in time to an extent that similarities become rare. A remedy that may promote some convergence is as follows: at regular intervals a court imports randomly chosen LP’s held by other courts. The probability of doing so is higher if the other court is moremainstream
. To allow for this mechanism rather than merely having level 6 containing the mainstream communities of level 5 of the stratification, a degree of centrality must be imposed on level 5 communities (with the level 6 and mainstream communities being the ones for which the degree of centrality exceeds some threshold) and the more central a community is considered the more likely is an export of LP’s maintained by one of its courts toan other
court. This randomized export of LP’s introduces a mechanism that may be compared to the working of genetic programming.
6.3Strengths,Weaknesses
, Opportunities, and Threats (SWOT)
Working towards RIL with its intended application in mind poses a researcher in a position where a wide range of moral issues needs to be dealt with. Even to develop a survey of these issues is so complicated that it cannot be satisfactorily done in this paper. But an attempt must be made. I will focus on the development of an RIL supported ICLPP as a process about which the moral consequences of significant participation are to be assessed. For this process a SWOT analysis will be made from three viewpoints, the results are rendered in a SWOT diagram which highlights key elements for each of the four categories of SWOT.
A SWOT analysis for a subject S will provide insight in the Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats relevant to S More precisely a SWOT analysis is carried out with respect to three ingredients:
subject
: some entity, concept, or mechanism of which the SWOT is made, context: the context of a particular environment perspective: a viewpoint, or perspective from which the SWOT is formulated.
For instance a SWOT can be made with subject: Financial Industry in London, context:
European competition in the financial industry, perspective: economic development of the London area. An alternative perspective may be: the UK tax payer. An alternative context may be: protection of office buildings against various risks in the UK.
Two different context/perspective pairs for the same subject (development of a RIL based ICLPP) will be considered, and then a third SWOT analysis is made with the legal process of a constitution based liberal democracy as a subject in the context of its competition with an RIL based ICLPP and from the perspective of a supporter of the liberal democratic political structures. Together this leads to three SWOT diagrams.
1. RIL based ICLPP (entity) in the competition with the current ICLPP which it eventually seeks to replace context), seen from inside Islam in its current form (perspective).
2. An RIL based ICLPP (entity) in the context of Islam (having embraced RIL and its applications perspective) competing with other non-Islamic ideologies (context), seen from inside a hypothetical stage of Islam having adapted to its modified process (perspective).
3. An RIL based ICLPP seen as an outpost of Islam (entity) in the context of a world with a number of constitution based liberal democracies for which RIL based ICLPP may be a competing process (context) seen from a classical democratic perspective outside Islam.
A SWOT can be made from outside Islam and from inside for instance and the results that are obtained may differ vastly. Moral risks can only be formulated from a certain perspective. The three SWOT diagrams are meant to deal with three kinds of objections each rendered as weaknesses or threats within an appropriate SWOT diagram.
1. Objections to development of RIL from a contemporary Islamic perspective, not particularly keen on legal process innovation.
2. Objections to the application perspective of RIL in terms of legal process innovation, given the need to compete with other systems outside Islam.
3. Objections to RIL development raised by those who consider ICLPP to constitute a risk for the maintenance of other (non-Islamic) legal processes for which the legal or ethical basis is considered superior, or at least of an independent value in need of preservation (seen from some perspective outside Islam).
6.3.1 A SWOT from a simulated internal perspective
This SWOT analysis highlights the ways in which a participant to the development of RIL may be criticized by participants of the current ICLPP. Options for such criticism are listed as treats in this SWOT analysis. The perspective is in fact a (hypothetical) inside conventional ICLPP perspective which is formulated from outside Islam.
Strengths.
(i
)potential
new development for ICLPP, which may be in need of innovation.
Weaknesses.
These take the form the RIL may not be developed (or used after development) to the satisfaction of its users and their local courts. Indeed RIL development is risky: it may be inconclusive, there may be scaling problems,results
may be unconvincing or even counterproductive.
Opportunities.
(i
) Constituting a new area for applied logic, thus attracting significant external interest, (ii) attracting the attention of a young generation ofmuslims
.
Threats.
(i
) being considered innovation for its own sake, unable to keepfocussed
on true and classical legal foundations of Islam, (ii) logic becoming considered too distant from ordinary life
(iii) scholars constituting courts are unwilling to take notice of logical methods and for that reason unwilling to take new colleagues on board who intend to make use of such methods.
(iv) opponents of RIL may successfully claim that introduction and usage RIL will lead to uniformity which then leads to centralization, a development that they want to prevent at all costs.
6.3.2 A SWOT diagram froman
friendly external perspective
This SWOT analysis concerns the evaluation of RIL supported ICLPP (which serves as the motivation for RIL designs and development), from a (hypothetical) Islamic perspective.
This perspective is formulated under the assumption that RIL supported ICLPP (or at least a development in that direction) has obtained ample support in mainstream Islam.
Strengths.
(i
) autonomy, (ii) real time decision making enabled about all daily matters on moral grounds, (iii) grounded in a long history, (iv) adaptation to local circumstances of a community, (v) law is not seen as an artificial fence which citizens may always try to approach (or even try to cross), rather law permanently guides everyone at in appropriate directions.
Weaknesses.
(i
)lacking
cohesion (correspondence) between different courts, (ii) low authority by defective grounding of court decisions. (ICLPP may be too weak a process to produce grounds for decisions that are widely accepted), (iii) inability to develop adequate customizations (local adaptations) of the ICLPP, again with lacking authority as a consequence. (iii)Unclarity
about its own ambitions: should this process be installed everywhere on the long run, or only in some countries with other countries following other governance principles? Should the process be made subordinate to other legal systems if those are (locally) dominant because a majority of a population has voted that way? If that is done, can it still retain its strength?
Opportunities.
(i
) Real Islamic Finance may be developed on the basis of Islamic Finance and Real Islamic logic: less important restrictions may subsequently be abandoned and the courts may be much more involved in ethical decision making about particular financial strategies and activities, (ii) customization of ICLPP to various local circumstances may be improved, (iii) RIL may be developed and used to facilitate a more efficient and for that reason also more frequent use of courts.
Threats.
(i
)centralization
may become dominant with all advantages gone, (ii) centralization may creep into the system because of the modern ICT technologies, (iii) the system is outperformed by a competing system, in particular constitution based liberal democracies which do not tolerate significant local variations in legal decision making.
6.3.3 A SWOT diagram from a cautious external perspective
The third SWOT analysis works from an external position, in particular from the position of the legal process of a constitution based liberal democracy, and it grasps the reflection on its own position assuming the emergence of an RIL supported ICLPP as depicted above, which is considered an emerging competitor.
Strengths.
(i
) Centralized law making produces better rules with wider acceptance, easily defended against the outcome of local autonomous ICLPP’s. (ii) Consistency of law throughout a wide area allows persons to be very mobile.
Weaknesses.
(i
) Citizens take a defensive attitude against the law (even if it has been constructed in part in their own name) more often than not viewing it as an unwanted limitation of their possible behavior and endlessly trying to stretch its boundaries.
(ii) Moral arguments have lost prominent status, though some issues can only be solved by means of such arguments. (iii) Minorities may feel poorly represented by the dominant legal system.
Opportunities.
(i
) Inside area A, the legal platform may allow for a reduced ICLPP (reduced because not permitted to overrule some constitutional principles), thus making area A more attractive to Islamic citizens and allowing A to make optimal use of their talents and skills. (iii)if
ICLPP structures are more effective in fighting crime and other results of lacking social cohesion, such advantages can be made use of, (iv) the same holds for other pressing social problems such as taking care of the elderly.
Threats.
(i
) If clear rules are lacking the emergence of an ICLPP infrastructure in area A may endanger the authority (and effectiveness) of the existing legal structure, without replacing it to the satisfaction of a voting majority, (ii) if the right to set up an ICLPP infrastructure, (on top of A’s existing legal system), may conflicts between both legal processes may arise and the power structures of A may come under pressure from allies of ICLPP outside A. Such pressures may be conventional political once, but also involve wars and acts of terrorism. (iii) When ICLPP comes into prominence, court autonomy may imply severe restrictions on individual mobility to areas supervised by other courts.
6.4 Integrating the SWOT diagrams
These SWOT’s are hardly consistent. From anan
external position (the current author’s position) the external SWOT takes priority over both internal ones. A worker on RIL assumes that for risk analysis and for selection of strategy and tactics taking the second SWOT into account may take priority over taking the first o into account.
That imposition of priorities does not imply a substantial weakening of the arguments which have been put forward in favor of RIL and its potential use. It only indicates operational boundary conditions. Together these SWOT analysis results provide some insight the pro’s and con’s of participating in RIL development for a non-muslim
. I conclude that participation in RIL development is defensible for an outsider to Islam who is strongly supportive of a constitution based liberal democracy.
The outsider’s position brings with it some moraldilemma’s
which have not been uncovered by means of the above SWOT analysis exercises. This requires some further comments.
6.4.1 Moral issues concerning the outsider’s position
Given the non-Islamic, that is outsider, position to which I committed myself, claiming a preference for the outcomes of the third SWOT analysis over the second and of the second one over the first will not resolve all possible ethical questions concerning the work on this paper. I would hope to be able to write in such a way that the work becomes acceptable for readers from a very wide ideological and religious spectrum. Aiming at that, however, implies that potential worries of some potential readers must be dealt with which are absent if not foreign to other potential readers. Taking the worries of some seriously can alienate others.
The outsider’s position is complicated by worries coming from two sides so to speak.
Those who consider Islam a dangerous enemy of democracy, liberalism, and, of free expression of opinion, may regard the plan to develop logic in order to become more functional for Islam a dangerous activity (and its agent may be considered naive at best). For people from Islam this perspective is so unattractive that they may not be willing to read a paper which pays any attention to it. Still I have to ask for some attention because my outsider’s position implies that such voices, often coming from so-called conservative politicians, cannot be overheard. Now what can I say? The moral issues cannot be definitively dealt with in isolation. Ethical questions about research and development must be considered in a larger context, taking corresponding problems in other fields into account.
I will make use of two fields of research and development as a tool for comparison: (i
) applied logic in general and (ii) the development that has led to the implementations if Islamic Finance.
I notice that many applications of logic in computing have been ready made for application in the military sector. Such applications can be developed by one’s enemy too, because publication is open to anyone who pays the relatively low cost of disclosure including an enemy. Thus even if one agrees that Islam is an “enemy” and that RIL can be applied in Islam, that state of affairs does not imply any moral problem for an RIL worker, the potential support for an enemy holds in both cases, and we know that right wing ideologists hardly ever suggest not to perform applied science and technology because that may empower the military and industrial capabilities of their enemies more than those of their allies.
6.4.2 Comparison with defense system oriented research considered flawed
In spite of this comparison with applied logic, an ethical problem certainly emerges because RIL might be considered to be so specific for its Islamic background that working on RIL can only be useful for applications aiming towards a particular form of Jihad.
Thus application asymmetry can lead to a moral problem. Against this objection, which portrays supporting work on RIL as less defensible than “ordinary applied logic focusing on military applications” the following can be said.
• In the initial stages RIL’s development is not conclusive from an application point of view. Until that is the case there is no true specificity of RIL oriented work for applications in the context of ICLPP (an intended specificity alone implies no moral problem with regard to asymmetric applicability).
• If RIL is successfully developed its methods and techniques may have other applications besides the intended one (thus widely accessible publication is mandatory if an asymmetry based critique is to be avoided).
• If RIL matures and is applied in the Islamic Legal process in the intended way that state of affairs may lead by way of computational evolution to centralized, or ratheruniformized
, control of the legal reasoning used outside courts, because monitoring information is likely to end up in public data bases, thus allowing legal meta-studies to be made.
• The situation may be compared with the development of Islamic Finance. Islamic windows
of banks managed from UK and USA have played an important role in getting the set of Islamic products defined and in their subsequent commercialization.
This matter seems not to have drawn much critical attention from fierce opponents of Islam. That lack of criticism is quite understandable: a few highly internationally operating western banks recognized a market opportunity and they took advantage of it successfully. These western banks have been so successful in that activity that it may be valued as a significant achievement that native banks from Islamic countries (that is, countries where a large part of the population ismuslim
) finally have been able to acquire a leading role in matters of Islamic Finance.
Sustainability of these leading roles has yet to be shown.
• As an economic phenomenon the evolution towards prominence of native banks in providing the products of Islamic Finance (in Islamic countries) may be compared to the prominence which Japan has acquired in the car industry between, say, 1970 and 2010. There is no need to view the acquisition of the prominent role of native banks as a manifestation of Jihad because ordinary market competition can be used as an alternative and more attractive explanation of that development. Jihad was involved earlier when the preconditions of these developments were set.
These arguments together make me believe that an outsider should not (or rather may ask not to) be sharply criticized (by other outsiders, perhaps including anti-Islam theorists) for doing work in such a way that he or she directly contributes to a development of RIL, including its intended application.